Thursday, April 2, 2015

Appropriate Punishment for FutureCrime

FutureCrime sounds like sci-fi but cops are prosecuting it right now and have been for some while.  The most egregious example is from a cop pulling over a car for doing five mph over the speed limit. From that trivial traffic stop, the cop pushed that out to searching the car and luggage of the driver and the passenger.  The cop found nineteen thousand dollars in cash in the passenger's backpack and concluded it was drug money so he took it.  There was no evidence of drug possession or use and the kid had to ask for some money from the cops just so he could get home.

It took seven thousand dollars for the kid to get his money back and there was no recovery on his legal fees.

He was guilty of FutureCrime as, in the cop's judgment, he would use the money to buy drugs.  In fact he was going out to California to try to get started out there and go to school.  In an interview you can see he's obviously neither a stoner nor richboy.  If he's really a dealer, he's the cleverest one I ever saw.


"Minority Report" isn't as prophetic as it seems given what happens right now.  The type of forfeiture we saw in the example has happened countless times and there is very little accounting on the cops for what they do with the money they appropriate that way.

Note:  it's no exaggeration on the extent of this civil forfeiture as they will take your money if they think you will commit a crime with it.  John Oliver did a report on how pervasive this has become.


You still want some type of prosecution of FutureCrime but in a much more subtle sense of the word.  You have to find any Lubitz types as it's not enough for that kind of sickness to kill themselves, they need to take out the whole stadium.  The prosecution isn't so much for putting them in jail but rather intercepting the crime and preventing it.


The optimistic side of this is that in the ability to predict FutureCrime is becoming progressively better, so long as the right people are doing it (i.e. not cops).  At least one psychiatrist said specifically Lubitz should not fly so it was definitely anticipated he would have 'problems at work' but the word of the psychiatrist has no authority except to Lubitz and he ignored it.


Looks to me like the kids will have to blow off their concerns about medical confidentiality as there are significant benefits to be gained by doing that.  There are significant concerns in terms of being rejected for a job due to medical or genetic unfitness.

But isn't that appropriate.  What is the point in taking a job when you can't do it ... other than to get a few dollars and soon get fired.

People instantly conjure nightmares of profiling and of course there will be profiles, that's the whole point.  Asking someone with an IQ of 80 to run a nuclear reactor that will take out half a state if it blows up may not be such a good idea.  The profiling exists already, it's just informal.  Formalizing it through open medical records conceivably could make things more fair rather than less as it removes the subjective judgment of an individual in Human Resources and replaces it formal logic.  I don't know if that's good but I do know it's going to happen and much of it likely happens already.

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