Sunday, March 29, 2015

Busting Lubitz in the Minority Report

Many people would like to bring this guy back to life ... and then kill him again for what he did but there isn't much more to say about him although it would be better if news media were disinclined to describe the graphic state of dead bodies on the mountainside as that takes tastelessness into a dimension the world doesn't need.

The bigger deal is how you know the next time you fly whether there's a whackjob in the cockpit who will pull a similar stunt.  When Lufthansa is one of the best and even they couldn't detect the problem, what chance is there any other airline will find a way.

Cat doesn't like flying and we have laughed before about how she would like to talk to the pilot to know he feels good, his attitude is straight, etc before she is willing to fly with him.  Who's going to say she is crazy after what happened.

It sucks to ask questions and then answer them yourself but so it goes this time as it looks like it becomes policy for all airlines to require the presence of two qualified people in the cockpit at all times.  That's fine and will prevent 99% of any such future possibilities.  As we've seen previously, it doesn't eliminate what happens when you have two crazy pilots and they plan it together.


Welcome to American Airlines Drone Operations.

Here the morale of our pilots is much higher because they don't have to be away from their families and there is no potential for rogue pilots when the Drone Operations center is fully-staffed at all times.  We can improve safety, efficiency, and reliability while simultaneously reducing staff costs.

(Ed:  you're saying commercial airlines should not have pilots onboard?)

Actually the economy of air travel and risk management are saying that.  Without pilots and the control systems they use, the aircraft would have much more room for people or amenities.

(Ed:  my flight decision is based on the pilot going into the ground first and he knows it.  If, in his judgment, we are safe to fly then I'm willing to fly with him.  That last-minute 'gut check' is not something a robot could ever understand as we are likely decades from computers being able to reliably make insightful decisions of that nature.)

No question it's safer as there is no chance for whacko cowboys at Drone Operations.

(Ed:  I won't feel safer if there is not a living breathing person who has just as much to lose as me sitting in front, driving the aircraft.)

Well, you've got to realize that living breathing person may be a dribbling lunatic as we saw with Lubitz.

(Ed:  why wasn't he reported?)

That goes against medical confidentiality, the thing that may rile people more than anything else these days.  The need is clear as he should have been reported.  He's a pilot.  He's not thinking straight.  Ground his ass.

If you're going to make that decision, tho, you're going to have to break down some rules on medical confidentiality and do anticipate a ScheisseSturm when you try to implement it.  Consider also that someone may not seek psychological help if they're aware the information would not necessarily be private.

So, how about the guys who sit in the missile silos or run nuclear reactors, etc.  How do you know one of those doesn't go crackers and decides he will cause a meltdown.


(Ed:  this goes straight to "Minority Report")

Righty, right.  There is one difference, tho.  In the movie 'future criminals' would be punished for 'future crimes' whereas in the present time what's desired is to anticipate 'future crime' and prevent it.

(Ed:  what stops the system from being warped to malevolent purpose in the future?)

Washington.

(Ed:  sorry but I'll need a better answer than that.)

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