There's one thing we know emphatically about mainstream drivers (i.e. John Q. Public) and that's the fact he can't drive to save his life and frequently doesn't.
The Rockhouse knows you love driving and so do I since I may get a little wobbly walking about but I'm nimble behind the wheel ... but that don't mean doodlysquat, mates.
The mainstream will buy you out and here's how: they're willing to pay up to five thousand dollars extra for a self-driving automobile. That makes excellent sense insofar as they recognize they suck at driving and they have no interest in improving that situation. Therefore, pony up a few more dollars and let the car do it.
There's one tiny problem for you and your Boss 302 since go-fasters are vastly out-numbered.
There's one more tiny problem since they're going to vote you off the road. Any inherent danger in an autonomous vehicle is significantly increased if it's driven amid manually-operated vehicles. They will vote you off the road due to the clear and present danger you present.
Not believing me? Well ...
The average consumer would be willing to pay $4,900 more for a car that had self-driving technologies, and $3,500 more for crash avoidance, according to a new study published in Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies.
Science Daily: Consumers are willing to pay $4,900 extra for a car that drives itself
There you see some subset of consumers is willing to pay $8500 for self-driving technology plus crash-avoidance technology. However, understand that 'crash avoidance' term since part of that will involve getting you off the road.
Confirming their result with the mechanism they used to produce it.
The team used hypothetical scenarios to predict what people would pay for cars with self-driving features. They asked 1,260 people across the US questions about hypothetical vehicles described in terms of their price and features, such as automated navigation systems. Participants had to choose between cars in a series of 'choice experiments'.
The results suggest that, on average, people would be willing to pay an additional $3,500 for partial automation and $4,900 for full automation.
- SD
However, there was a large range in people's preferences: many people would be willing to pay more than $10,000 for full automation, but many others would not pay anything at all for the technology. The researchers developed economic models that show consumer demand for automation is split roughly equally between high, modest and no demand. This, they say, highlights the importance of considering flexible preferences for emerging vehicle technologies.
- SD
They don't give us a taste of the percentage of people falling into the High, Modest, No Demand divisions so we need more but I'm sure you get the vibe already.
"Forecasting the transition to an automated transportation reality is a complex task that requires flexible mathematical models of human behavior as well as an understanding of the likely technology developments and possible business models that may emerge," Dr. Daziano commented. "On the one hand, I feel particularly attracted to this interplay of economic modeling with technology innovation. On the other hand, I don't enjoy driving so I look forward to cars that will drive (themselves) for me, and I would like to have an insider's view of when this could happen."
- SD
'Forecasting the transition' means a transition is inevitable and that's the question to you, mates. We see the good doctor wants manually-operated vehicles gone since he really doesn't like driving but whether you can ever legally run that hotrod on a public street again is yet to be determined.
The Rockhouse isn't too big on fortune telling but the good Doctor has done quite a bit of it so the Rockhouse has presented some possible extensions on that. Whether they are credible extensions is your call.
The Rockhouse knows you love driving and so do I since I may get a little wobbly walking about but I'm nimble behind the wheel ... but that don't mean doodlysquat, mates.
The mainstream will buy you out and here's how: they're willing to pay up to five thousand dollars extra for a self-driving automobile. That makes excellent sense insofar as they recognize they suck at driving and they have no interest in improving that situation. Therefore, pony up a few more dollars and let the car do it.
There's one tiny problem for you and your Boss 302 since go-fasters are vastly out-numbered.
There's one more tiny problem since they're going to vote you off the road. Any inherent danger in an autonomous vehicle is significantly increased if it's driven amid manually-operated vehicles. They will vote you off the road due to the clear and present danger you present.
Not believing me? Well ...
The average consumer would be willing to pay $4,900 more for a car that had self-driving technologies, and $3,500 more for crash avoidance, according to a new study published in Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies.
Science Daily: Consumers are willing to pay $4,900 extra for a car that drives itself
There you see some subset of consumers is willing to pay $8500 for self-driving technology plus crash-avoidance technology. However, understand that 'crash avoidance' term since part of that will involve getting you off the road.
Confirming their result with the mechanism they used to produce it.
The team used hypothetical scenarios to predict what people would pay for cars with self-driving features. They asked 1,260 people across the US questions about hypothetical vehicles described in terms of their price and features, such as automated navigation systems. Participants had to choose between cars in a series of 'choice experiments'.
The results suggest that, on average, people would be willing to pay an additional $3,500 for partial automation and $4,900 for full automation.
- SD
However, there was a large range in people's preferences: many people would be willing to pay more than $10,000 for full automation, but many others would not pay anything at all for the technology. The researchers developed economic models that show consumer demand for automation is split roughly equally between high, modest and no demand. This, they say, highlights the importance of considering flexible preferences for emerging vehicle technologies.
- SD
They don't give us a taste of the percentage of people falling into the High, Modest, No Demand divisions so we need more but I'm sure you get the vibe already.
"Forecasting the transition to an automated transportation reality is a complex task that requires flexible mathematical models of human behavior as well as an understanding of the likely technology developments and possible business models that may emerge," Dr. Daziano commented. "On the one hand, I feel particularly attracted to this interplay of economic modeling with technology innovation. On the other hand, I don't enjoy driving so I look forward to cars that will drive (themselves) for me, and I would like to have an insider's view of when this could happen."
- SD
'Forecasting the transition' means a transition is inevitable and that's the question to you, mates. We see the good doctor wants manually-operated vehicles gone since he really doesn't like driving but whether you can ever legally run that hotrod on a public street again is yet to be determined.
The Rockhouse isn't too big on fortune telling but the good Doctor has done quite a bit of it so the Rockhouse has presented some possible extensions on that. Whether they are credible extensions is your call.
2 comments:
I think this issue will devolve into a socio-economic one. Sure, self driving cars will be better than humans, and accidents will reduce and consequently, so will insurance rates. This is where they will get us. Sure, you can drive your car, but since you're much more likely to have an accident, the insurance for you will be much higher. They can just continue to ratchet up the rates until only a few (rich) can drive. End of story.
That's the answer for sure. They will insure you out of your car if it's not autonomous. Yep, highly effective and zero cost for our owners to do it so that looks like the definite win for them.
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