Sunday, December 4, 2016

Whether Climate Change is the Reason Tornadoes Get Worse

The answer may not be what you expect since the researchers did not see a direct connection between climate change and the increasing number of tornado outbreaks.  (Science Daily:  Increasing tornado outbreaks: Is climate change responsible?)

In a new paper, published December 1 in Science via First Release, the researchers looked at increasing trends in the severity of tornado outbreaks where they measured severity by the number of tornadoes per outbreak.  They found that these trends are increasing fastest for the most extreme outbreaks.  While they saw changes in meteorological quantities that are consistent with these upward trends, the meteorological trends were not the ones expected under climate change.

- Science Daily


They continue and it gets to the point at which I don't understand their language but we get the overall premise that it's not a simple one-to-one relationship between climate change the 'naders.

Extreme meteorological environments associated with severe thunderstorms showed consistent upward trends, but the trends did not resemble those currently expected to result from global warming.  They looked at two factors: convective available potential energy (CAPE) and a measure of vertical wind shear, storm relative helicity.  Modeling studies have projected that CAPE will increase in a warmer climate leading to more frequent environments favorable to severe thunderstorms in the U.S.  However, they found that the meteorological trends were not due to increasing CAPE but instead due to trends in storm relative helicity, which has not been projected to increase under climate change.

Science Daily


There's no pithy editorial of sci fi extension on this one since the primary observation is the researchers will give the results of their science even when it's not what they expected whereas others who are pushing an agenda only talk about climate change reports when they match whatever they believe.  Here at the Rockhouse, we pay zero attention to agendas because we want to see what the people doing the science have got happening.


It seems there's an obvious question in what if the intensity of hurricanes is not modulated by climate change.  There's no reason to believe that but likely we will see more research since the researchers want to understand what exactly climate change does.  They can see climate change is happening and they have known it for years but they don't know the precise consequence of it so they study.

Presumably this is what conservatives regard as 'milking the system' on climate change but you don't see the professors at Goldman Sachs so if they do get any milk then it sure isn't much of it.


I lived in the university world for a significant part of my life and I came to know a great many professors, some with exceptional academic qualifications and reputations.  For example, I briefly met George Rieveschel because he was a good friend of my ol' Dad and he was the one who invented Benadryl.  Yah, he held the original patent on it.  He didn't turn into some grasping Wall Street sleaze.  (WIKI:  George Rieveschel)

Rieveschel is one of the few who ended up in the big bucks and you could call that 'milking the system' if you like but, in my view, it would be grossly unfair.

Ed:  you're just name-dropping!

Not at all since you would know immediately or could learn quickly who he is if I identified him only as the inventor of Benadryl.

Most of the best people I ever met where the ones I met first at university and maybe you think the worst would have been the ones in the military but that's not true.  They were crazy but they were honest.

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