Thursday, May 14, 2015

Autism and Childhood's End (Arthur C Clarke)

The incidence of autism has risen substantially over the last six or seven years and the anti-vax crew attributes that to vaccinations but that doesn't explain too well why there wasn't a massive wave of autism throughout the period vaccinations have been used for primary health care.

There's some genetic contribution as verified by twin studies but it's not currently known which genes are involved.  It's also not a positive lock as there is increased incidence of autism in the other twin but the figures do not match.  Therefore, they conclude environment is an additional consideration.

Something that's changed substantially in parallel with the increase in autism and you'll need to give some years for the effect to build enough to change something but then it became, seemingly, unstoppable with roughly three times the incidence of autism now relative to what was observed six or seven years ago.  Unknown how much of this is attributable to increased observation, psychologist hysteria in which every kid suddenly has ADD, or any such random contributions.

"Childhood's End" is a novel by Arthur C Clarke and part of the build is the children of the Earth start becoming autistic in a rapidly-spreading phenomenon.  It's a fascinating story and I encourage reading it so I'm not going to blow that story here.  Nevertheless, there's some irony in what's observed in the real world now.

My premise is the hysteria being fomented by news media has scared the entire culture or at least substantial parts of it in deep and fundamental ways.  They're afraid of what's in the food, what mad scientists have done to the food, whether terrorists will jump out of the food, etc, etc, etc.  There's an endless list and endless reminders of all the things coming to destroy you.

When autism is, at least figuratively, rolling up into a ball, it doesn't seem too farfetched to think the frantic hysteria has had at least some causative influence on the increase in the incidence of it.


The research was hardly PhD quality but I did see enough to satisfy myself the phenomenon is real and not some Dr Oz crap which will make people worse off than before they saw him.  At first I questioned the reporting as believing any statements of fact regarding any type of world events on Facebook is a very bad idea unless you know the person outside of Facebook.  The increasing incidence of autism at a rapid rate does look real.  (CDC:  Data and Statistics)


Dr Oz, feel free to sue me, bitch.  I don't own anything ... aber Sie kann mein Scheisse haben und ich werde kein Geld fragen.

(Ed:  he would try to sell it)

Good point.

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